COMPARISONS AMONG EIGHT FIU/CUBA POLLS
WHEN WILL MAJOR POLITICAL CHANGE OCCUR IN CUBA? Over the past few years, people have been talking about the possibility of political changes in Cuba. When do you think that major political changes are likely to occur in Cuba? Would you say within one year, in two to five years, in six to ten years, over ten years, or never?
March 1991 Oct 1991 June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Within 1 year 35.2% 54.2% 38.1% 20.9% 13.8% 9.9% 12.5% 17.0%
in 2 to 5 years 44.1% 34.3% 39.5% 36.0% 32.4% 34.0% 45.7% 45.9%
in 6 to 10 years 5.9% 4.0% 6.1% 12.0% 18.4% 12.1% 14.3% 11.7%
over ten years 4.0% 2.5% 5.0% 6.2% 13.9% 15.1% 11.2% 10.2%
never 10.8% 5.0% 11.3% 24.9% 21.6% 28.9% 16.3% 13.4%
Establishing a national dialogue among Cuban exiles, Cuban dissidents, and representatives of the Cuban government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]
ESTABLISH NATIONAL DIALOG?
March 1991 Oct 1991 June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Strongly Favor 22.4% 31.1% 22.5% 20.9% 29.7% 34.4% 39.4% 50.3%
Mostly Favor 17.4% 18.2% 20.5% 19.6% 21.9% 17.2% 16.2% 14.7%
Mostly Oppose 6.4% 8.1% 3.4% 6.9% 13.9% 11.8% 7.7% 10.3%
Strongly Oppose 45.8% 31.1% 40.7% 41.9% 34.6% 36.6% 36.8% 24.7%
Not with Fidel/Raul 8.0% 11.5% 12.9% 10.7%
Do you favor or oppose continuing the U.S. embargo of Cuba?
TIGHTENING THE EMBARGO?
March 1991 Oct 1991 June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Strongly Favor 73.8% 78.1% 73.3% 74.0% 78.2% 62.4% 66.0% 57.5%
Mostly Favor 12.8% 8.9% 11.5% 9.4%
Mostly Oppose 5.8% 5.4% 5.7% 4.8% 21.8% 37.6% 34.0% 42.5%
Strongly Oppose 7.6% 7.0% 9.5% 11.2%
Not with Fidel/Raul 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.6%
SUPPORT US INVASION OF CUBA? Supporting direct U.S. military action to overthrow the Cuban government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]
March 1991 Oct 1991 June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Strongly Favor 49.3% 39.9% 47.6% 47.8% 51.6% 49.4% 50.7% 43.7%
Mostly Favor 13.3% 13.3% 12.5% 10.8% 13.9% 11.0% 9.4% 7.4%
Mostly Oppose 12.2% 11.2% 9.6% 11.2% 14.2% 10.0% 7.7% 14.7%
Strongly Oppose 25.2% 34.5% 30.3% 29.9% 20.3% 29.6% 32.3% 34.2%
Not with Fidel/Raul 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.2%
SUPPORT EXILE INVASION Supporting military action by the exile community to overthrow the Cuban Government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]
March 1991 Oct 1991 June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Strongly Favor 62.0% 60.8% 60.3% 59.0% 55.5% 55.5% 49.8% 58.4%
Mostly Favor 14.3% 11.6% 12.5% 14.2% 15.8% 13.5% 10.4% 12.3%
Mostly Oppose 9.0% 8.7% 7.9% 8.2% 13.7% 9.6% 8.4% 11.4%
Strongly Oppose 14.7% 18.0% 19.2% 18.4% 14.9% 21.4% 31.4% 17.8%
Not with Fidel/Raul 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.2%
SUPPORT HUMAN RIGHTS GROUP INSIDE OF CUBA? Supporting human rights groups inside Cuba. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]
March 1991 Oct 1991 June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Strongly Favor 74.6% 75.4% 74.7% 77.6% 73.9% 79.9% 86.0% 86.3%
Mostly Favor 15.7% 15.5% 15.7% 14.2% 18.3% 14.7% 7.9% 9.9%
Mostly Oppose 2.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2%
Strongly Oppose 5.2% 3.9% 4.9% 3.8% 4.6% 3.5% 4.3% 2.6%
Not with Fidel/Raul 2.2% 3.1% 2.3% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
ALLOW MEDICINE SALES TO CUBA? Allow companies to sell medicine to Cuba, do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?
June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Strongly Favor 30.6% 36.4% 29.0% 44.3% 50.1% 55.9%
Mostly Favor 19.3% 25.3% 26.6% 21.8% 19.4% 15.8%
Mostly Oppose 7.8% 7.5% 11.9% 6.6% 5.5% 7.3%
Strongly Oppose 33.2% 26.1% 32.6% 27.4% 25.1% 21.0%
Not with Fidel/Raul 9.2% 4.6%
ALLOW FOOD SALES TO CUBA? Allowing U.S. companies to sell food to Cuba.  [..Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]
June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Strongly Favor 15.3% 16.9% 21.1% 38.4% 39.2% 49.1%
Mostly Favor 8.1% 11.4% 19.3% 17.9% 15.6% 12.9%
Mostly Oppose 9.6% 11.6% 16.7% 8.9% 10.0% 10.6%
Strongly Oppose 54.8% 53.4% 43.0% 34.8% 35.2% 27.4%
Not with Fidel/Raul 12.2% 6.6%
ALLOW UNRESTRICTED TRAVEL TO CUBA? Should unrestricted travel from the US to Cuba be allowed or not?
March 1991 Oct 1991 June 1993 March 1995 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Strongly Favor 31.3% 34.0% 22.6% 21.8% 52.8% 46.3% 55.2%
Mostly Favor 14.0% 15.8% 17.8% 15.0%
Mostly Oppose 5.8% 5.1% 5.1% 8.9% 47.2% 53.7% 44.8%
Strongly Oppose 40.7% 34.3% 45.5% 49.2%
Not with Fidel/Raul 8.2% 10.8% 9.1% 5.1%
IF DEMOCRATIC CHANGE OCCURS WOULD YOU RETURN TO LIVE? What if Cuba changed to a democratic form of government. How likely is it that you would return to Cuba to live - would you say very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?
March 1991 Oct 1991 June 1993 March 1995 June 1997 Oct 2000 March 2004 March 2007
Very Likely 16.6% 18.8% 17.9% 16.3% 14.3% 21.9% 17.6% 15.6%
Some What Likely 11.8% 13.3% 11.4% 13.4% 15.0% 17.0% 15.7% 13.1%
Not Very Likely 18.0% 16.0% 19.3% 18.5% 18.7% 19.1% 19.0% 16.2%
Not at all Likely 53.6% 52.0% 51.4% 51.8% 52.1% 42.0% 47.7% 54.1%
US EMBARGO WORKS Overall, do you think the U.S. embargo of Cuba has worked very well, well, not very well, or not at all?
March 1991 Oct 1991 March 2004 March 2007
Very Well 7.3% 8.4% 9% 9%
Well 17.3% 17.3% 17% 14%
Not Very Well 42.3% 33.4% 28% 31%
Not at All 33.0% 40.9% 46% 45%
U.S. CITIZEN
March 1991 Oct 1991 March 2004 March 2007
Yes 68.2% 70.7% 67.9% 65.2%
No 31.8% 29.3% 32.1% 33.7%
REGISTERED TO VOTE Are you registered to vote?
March 1991 Oct 1991 March 2004 March 2007
Yes 91.8% 91.0% 90.3% 91.1%
No 8.2% 9.0% 9.7% 8.9%
POLITICAL PARTY Are you registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or with some other party?
March 1991 Oct 1991 March 2004 March 2007
Republican 69.5% 67.0% 68.5% 66.1%
Democrat 16.3% 17.2% 17.7% 18.3%
Independent 14.2% 14.4% 12.9% 15.2%
Other - 1.4% 0.4%
NEWS LANGUAGE What language do you prefer to get your news in?
March 1991 Oct 1991 March 2004 March 2007
English 22.1% 24.8% 22.3% 18.1%
Spanish 53.4% 54.8% 59.9% 58.7%
Other - 0.1% 0.8%
Both English and Spanish 24.5% 20.3% 17.9% 22.4%