Factors predicting favor continuing or ending the embargo

 

Evidence from final open-ended question in the survey: What is the most important thing Barack Obama needs to do with regard to Cuba when he becomes president?
Qué es lo más importante que Barack Obama necesita hacer con relación a Cuba, cuando se posesione en la presidencia?

A number of different codes were developed as responses were categorized. One dimension measuring what might be called engagement vs non-engagement was the most commonly stated position. 45% of respondents stated this. Of them, nearly 75% took the active engagement position. Respondents who want to continue the embargo were almost evenly split on this dimension, but those who want to end it were strongly (90% of them) pro-engagement.

 

 

 

ending the embargo

 

 

continue the embargo

end the embargo

1=start dialogue, start talking and see what happens, find a new way;

2: no change, keep things the same, Obama will not be able to do anything

 

78

55%

159

90%

 

63

45%

18

10%

 

 

 

age and presidential vote also were strongly related to the embargo position

 

 

18-24

25-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80 and older

ending the embargo

continue the embargo

42%

34%

28%

42%

47%

54%

70%

74%

end the embargo

58%

66%

72%

58%

53%

46%

30%

26%

 

 

 

 

Presidential vote

 

 

McCain

Obama

ending the embargo

continue the embargo

73%

30%

end the embargo

27%

70%

 

 

content to be added later from what is linked below

Initial release of 2008 Cuba/US Transition Poll tabulations

Comparisons among FIU Cuba Polls 1991-2007

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