| COMPARISONS AMONG EIGHT FIU/CUBA POLLS | ||||||||
| WHEN WILL MAJOR POLITICAL CHANGE OCCUR IN CUBA? | Over the past few years, people have been talking about the possibility of political changes in Cuba. When do you think that major political changes are likely to occur in Cuba? Would you say within one year, in two to five years, in six to ten years, over ten years, or never? | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |
| Within 1 year | 35.2% | 54.2% | 38.1% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 17.0% |
| in 2 to 5 years | 44.1% | 34.3% | 39.5% | 36.0% | 32.4% | 34.0% | 45.7% | 45.9% |
| in 6 to 10 years | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.7% |
| over ten years | 4.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| never | 10.8% | 5.0% | 11.3% | 24.9% | 21.6% | 28.9% | 16.3% | 13.4% |
| Establishing a national dialogue among Cuban exiles, Cuban dissidents, and representatives of the Cuban government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?] | ||||||||
| ESTABLISH NATIONAL DIALOG? | ||||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |
| Strongly Favor | 22.4% | 31.1% | 22.5% | 20.9% | 29.7% | 34.4% | 39.4% | 50.3% |
| Mostly Favor | 17.4% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.7% |
| Mostly Oppose | 6.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% |
| Strongly Oppose | 45.8% | 31.1% | 40.7% | 41.9% | 34.6% | 36.6% | 36.8% | 24.7% |
| Not with Fidel/Raul | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | ||||
| Do you favor or oppose continuing the U.S. embargo of Cuba? | ||||||||
| TIGHTENING THE EMBARGO? | ||||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |
| Strongly Favor | 73.8% | 78.1% | 73.3% | 74.0% | 78.2% | 62.4% | 66.0% | 57.5% |
| Mostly Favor | 12.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | ||||
| Mostly Oppose | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 21.8% | 37.6% | 34.0% | 42.5% |
| Strongly Oppose | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | ||||
| Not with Fidel/Raul | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | ||||
| SUPPORT US INVASION OF CUBA? | Supporting direct U.S. military action to overthrow the Cuban government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?] | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |
| Strongly Favor | 49.3% | 39.9% | 47.6% | 47.8% | 51.6% | 49.4% | 50.7% | 43.7% |
| Mostly Favor | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Mostly Oppose | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 14.7% |
| Strongly Oppose | 25.2% | 34.5% | 30.3% | 29.9% | 20.3% | 29.6% | 32.3% | 34.2% |
| Not with Fidel/Raul | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | ||||
| SUPPORT EXILE INVASION | Supporting military action by the exile community to overthrow the Cuban Government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?] | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |
| Strongly Favor | 62.0% | 60.8% | 60.3% | 59.0% | 55.5% | 55.5% | 49.8% | 58.4% |
| Mostly Favor | 14.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% |
| Mostly Oppose | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% |
| Strongly Oppose | 14.7% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 31.4% | 17.8% |
| Not with Fidel/Raul | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | ||||
| SUPPORT HUMAN RIGHTS GROUP INSIDE OF CUBA? | Supporting human rights groups inside Cuba. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?] | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |
| Strongly Favor | 74.6% | 75.4% | 74.7% | 77.6% | 73.9% | 79.9% | 86.0% | 86.3% |
| Mostly Favor | 15.7% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% |
| Mostly Oppose | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Strongly Oppose | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Not with Fidel/Raul | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||
| ALLOW MEDICINE SALES TO CUBA? | Allow companies to sell medicine to Cuba, do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this? | |||||||
| June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |||
| Strongly Favor | 30.6% | 36.4% | 29.0% | 44.3% | 50.1% | 55.9% | ||
| Mostly Favor | 19.3% | 25.3% | 26.6% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 15.8% | ||
| Mostly Oppose | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | ||
| Strongly Oppose | 33.2% | 26.1% | 32.6% | 27.4% | 25.1% | 21.0% | ||
| Not with Fidel/Raul | 9.2% | 4.6% | ||||||
| ALLOW FOOD SALES TO CUBA? | Allowing U.S. companies to sell food to Cuba. [..Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?] | |||||||
| June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |||
| Strongly Favor | 15.3% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 38.4% | 39.2% | 49.1% | ||
| Mostly Favor | 8.1% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.9% | ||
| Mostly Oppose | 9.6% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | ||
| Strongly Oppose | 54.8% | 53.4% | 43.0% | 34.8% | 35.2% | 27.4% | ||
| Not with Fidel/Raul | 12.2% | 6.6% | ||||||
| ALLOW UNRESTRICTED TRAVEL TO CUBA? | Should unrestricted travel from the US to Cuba be allowed or not? | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | June 1993 | March 1995 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | ||
| Strongly Favor | 31.3% | 34.0% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 52.8% | 46.3% | 55.2% | |
| Mostly Favor | 14.0% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 15.0% | ||||
| Mostly Oppose | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 47.2% | 53.7% | 44.8% | |
| Strongly Oppose | 40.7% | 34.3% | 45.5% | 49.2% | ||||
| Not with Fidel/Raul | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | ||||
| IF DEMOCRATIC CHANGE OCCURS WOULD YOU RETURN TO LIVE? | What if Cuba changed to a democratic form of government. How likely is it that you would return to Cuba to live - would you say very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely? | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | June 1993 | March 1995 | June 1997 | Oct 2000 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |
| Very Likely | 16.6% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 15.6% |
| Some What Likely | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% |
| Not Very Likely | 18.0% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 16.2% |
| Not at all Likely | 53.6% | 52.0% | 51.4% | 51.8% | 52.1% | 42.0% | 47.7% | 54.1% |
| US EMBARGO WORKS | Overall, do you think the U.S. embargo of Cuba has worked very well, well, not very well, or not at all? | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |||||
| Very Well | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9% | 9% | ||||
| Well | 17.3% | 17.3% | 17% | 14% | ||||
| Not Very Well | 42.3% | 33.4% | 28% | 31% | ||||
| Not at All | 33.0% | 40.9% | 46% | 45% | ||||
| U.S. CITIZEN | ||||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |||||
| Yes | 68.2% | 70.7% | 67.9% | 65.2% | ||||
| No | 31.8% | 29.3% | 32.1% | 33.7% | ||||
| REGISTERED TO VOTE | Are you registered to vote? | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |||||
| Yes | 91.8% | 91.0% | 90.3% | 91.1% | ||||
| No | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | ||||
| POLITICAL PARTY | Are you registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or with some other party? | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |||||
| Republican | 69.5% | 67.0% | 68.5% | 66.1% | ||||
| Democrat | 16.3% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 18.3% | ||||
| Independent | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | ||||
| Other | - | 1.4% | 0.4% | |||||
| NEWS LANGUAGE | What language do you prefer to get your news in? | |||||||
| March 1991 | Oct 1991 | March 2004 | March 2007 | |||||
| English | 22.1% | 24.8% | 22.3% | 18.1% | ||||
| Spanish | 53.4% | 54.8% | 59.9% | 58.7% | ||||
| Other | - | 0.1% | 0.8% | |||||
| Both English and Spanish | 24.5% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 22.4% | ||||