Institute for Public Opinion Research
School of Journalism and Mass Communications
Florida International University
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Cuban Research Institute
Florida International University
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(c) 2007 Institute for Public Opinion Research/Florida International University


Results by Whether Registered to Vote






When political changes in Cuba


Over the past few years, people have been talking about the possibility of political changes in Cuba. When do you think that major political changes are likely to occur in Cuba? Would you say within one year, in two to five years, in six to ten years, over ten years, or never?

Durante los últimos cinco años se ha hablado sobre la posibilidad de cambios políticos en Cuba. Cuándo cree usted que es probable que ocurran esos cambios políticos en Cuba? Diría usted que dentro del año, de dos a cinco años de seis a diez años, más de diez años, o nunca?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q1 When political changes in Cuba Total
WITHIN ONE YEAR IN TWO TO FIVE YEARS IN SIX TO TEN YEARS OVER TEN YEARS NEVER DON'T CARE/DON'T WANT TO RESPOND
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 16.2% 47.6% 12.0% 9.3% 12.6% 2.4% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 17.7% 44.8% 11.3% 10.7% 13.9% 1.6% 100.0%
Total 17.1% 45.9% 11.6% 10.1% 13.4% 1.9% 100.0%





Allow companies to sell medicine to Cuba


[IF ON THESE QUESTIONS YOU GET THE RESPONSE "NOT AS LONG AS RAUL (OR FIDEL) CASTRO ARE IN POWER" SAY: This question is about Cuba as it is today. Do you favor or oppose...] Over the years, the United States government has often supported different policies toward Cuba. I am going to read you some of the different policies that have been proposed and I would like you to tell me whether you favor or oppose these policies. First, allow companies to sell medicine to Cuba, do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?

Durante años, el gobierno de los Estados Unidos ha apoyado a menudo políticas hacia Cuba. Voy a leerle algunas de las diferentes políticas que se han propuesto, y me gustaría que usted me dijera si está a favor o en contra de ellas. Permitir que las compañías vendan medicinas a Cuba, está decididamente a favor, principalmente a favor, principalmente en contra, o fuertemente en contra?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q2 Allow companies to sell medicine to Cuba Total
STRONGLY FAVOR MOSTLY FAVOR MOSTLY OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 65.3% 13.6% 7.3% 13.8% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 49.6% 17.2% 7.5% 25.7% 100.0%
Total 55.8% 15.8% 7.4% 21.0% 100.0%





Allow US companies to sell food to Cuba


Allowing U.S. companies to sell food to Cuba. [..Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]

Permitir que las compañías norteamericanas vendan alimentos a Cuba... Está decididamente a favor, principalmente a favor, principalmente en contra, o fuertemente en contra?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q3 Allow US companies to sell food to Cuba Total
STRONGLY FAVOR MOSTLY FAVOR MOSTLY OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 61.4% 11.1% 9.5% 18.0% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 40.6% 14.4% 11.4% 33.6% 100.0%
Total 49.1% 13.0% 10.6% 27.3% 100.0%





Support direct U.S. military action to overthrow Cuban gov't


Supporting direct U.S. military action to overthrow the Cuban government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]

Apoyar una intervención militar directa de los Estados Unidos para derrocar al gobierno cubano... Está decididamente a favor, principalmente a favor, principalmente en contra, o fuertemente en contra de esto?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q4 Support direct U.S. military action to overthrow Cuban gov't Total
STRONGLY FAVOR MOSTLY FAVOR MOSTLY OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 38.6% 6.6% 12.8% 42.0% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 47.2% 7.9% 16.0% 28.8% 100.0%
Total 43.7% 7.4% 14.7% 34.2% 100.0%





Support military action by exile community to overthrow Cuban gov't


Supporting military action by the exile community to overthrow the Cuban Government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]

Apoyar una acción de la comunidad exiliada para derrocar al gobierno cubano... Está decididamente a favor, principalmente a favor, principalmente en contra, o fuertemente en contra de esto?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q5 Support military action by exile community to overthrow Cuban gov't Total
STRONGLY FAVOR MOSTLY FAVOR MOSTLY OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 59.5% 13.9% 9.1% 17.6% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 57.7% 11.3% 13.1% 18.0% 100.0%
Total 58.4% 12.3% 11.5% 17.8% 100.0%





Support human rights groups inside Cuba


Supporting human rights groups inside Cuba. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]

Apoyar a los grupos de derechos humanos dentro de Cuba... Está decididamente a favor, principalmente a favor, principalmente en contra o fuertemente en contra de esto?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q6 Support human rights groups inside Cuba Total
STRONGLY FAVOR MOSTLY FAVOR MOSTLY OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 85.6% 11.1% .8% 2.6% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 86.8% 9.2% 1.4% 2.6% 100.0%
Total 86.3% 9.9% 1.1% 2.6% 100.0%





Establish national dialogue among Cuban exiles, dissidents, & reps of Cuban gov't


Establishing a national dialogue among Cuban exiles, Cuban dissidents, and representatives of the Cuban government. [...Do you strongly favor, mostly favor, mostly oppose, or strongly oppose this?]

Establecer un diálogo nacional entre exiliados cubanos, disidentes cubanos, y representantes del gobierno cubano... Está decididamente a favor, principalmente a favor, principalmente en contra, o decididamente en contra de esto?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q7 Establish national dialogue among Cuban exiles, dissidents, & reps of Cuban gov't Total
STRONGLY FAVOR MOSTLY FAVOR MOSTLY OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 59.0% 13.0% 8.2% 19.7% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 44.3% 15.8% 11.7% 28.2% 100.0%
Total 50.2% 14.7% 10.3% 24.8% 100.0%





Ag trade with Cuba


Some U.S. companies have managed to establish limited business relations with Cuba to sell grain, other agricultural products, and medicine. Should this kind of trade be expanded, kept the same or stopped.

Algunas companías en los Estados Unidos han logrado establecer relaciones limitadas para negociar con Cuba, vendiéndoles granos, otros productos agrícolas y medicinas. Debería este comercio expandirse, mantenerlo igual, o suspenderlo.


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q8 Ag trade with Cuba Total
EXPANDED KEPT THE SAME STOPPED
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 42.9% 28.4% 28.7% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 28.2% 24.6% 47.2% 100.0%
Total 34.1% 26.2% 39.7% 100.0%





Unrestricted travel from US to Cuba allowed or not


Should unrestricted travel from the US to Cuba be allowed or not?

Los viajes sin restricciones de los Estados Unidos a Cuba deberían ser permitidos o no?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q9 Unrestricted travel from US to Cuba allowed or not Total
YES, ALLOWED NO, NOT ALLOWED
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 73.9% 26.1% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 42.3% 57.7% 100.0%
Total 55.2% 44.8% 100.0%





U.S. embargo of Cuba has worked overall


Overall, do you think the U.S. embargo of Cuba has worked very well, well, not very well, or not at all?

En términos generales, cree usted que el embargo norteamericano a Cuba ha dado un muy buen resultado, un buen resultado, no muy bueno, o ninguno en absoluto?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q10 U.S. embargo of Cuba has worked overall Total
VERY WELL WELL NOT VERY WELL NOT AT ALL
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 7.6% 12.4% 25.8% 54.2% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 10.4% 15.7% 35.2% 38.8% 100.0%
Total 9.3% 14.4% 31.4% 45.0% 100.0%





Favor or oppose continuing U.S. embargo of Cuba


Do you favor or oppose continuing the U.S. embargo of Cuba?

Está usted a favor o en contra de que continúe el embargo a Cuba?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q11 Favor or oppose continuing U.S. embargo of Cuba Total
FAVOR OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 45.2% 54.8% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 65.6% 34.4% 100.0%
Total 57.4% 42.6% 100.0%





Favor or oppose diplomatic relations


Do you favor or oppose the U.S. re-establishing diplomatic relations with Cuba?

Está usted a favor o en contra del restablecimiento de las relaciones diplomáticas de los Estados Unidos con Cuba?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q12 Favor or oppose diplomatic relations Total
FAVOR OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 67.5% 32.5% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 50.6% 49.4% 100.0%
Total 57.4% 42.6% 100.0%





SUMMARY OF RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS ON CONDITIONS FOR ENDING THE EMBARGO, TABS FOR INDIVIDUAL QUESTIONS IN THE SCALE FOLLOW


In your opinion, what kinds of conditions would Cuba have to meet in order for the United States to end the embargo? I will read a list of conditions first, and then ask you about each one. They are: 1. No conditions, the embargo should be ended now; 2. the death of Fidel Castro, 3. the end of rule by Raul Castro, 4. the establishment of an economy open to free trade and investment, and 5. the establishment of a democratic government.

En su opinión, que tipo de condiciones se requieren para que los Estados Unidos le levanten el embargo a Cuba? Primero le voy a leer una lista de condiciones y después le haré preguntas al respecto de cada una. Ellas son: 1. Sin condiciones, el embargo debería de levantarse ahora; 2. La muerte de Fidel Castro, 3. El fin del gobierno de Raúl Castro, 4. El establecimiento de una economía abierta al libre comercio y a la inversión, y 5. El establecimiento de un gobierno democrático. [ PLEASE NOTE THAT NUMBER CODES ON RESPONSES DO NOT MATCH NUMBERS IN QUESTION]


% within regvote Registered to Vote


endbarg conditions to be met for embargo to end Total
end embargo now end when Fidel Castro gone end when Fidel and Raul Castro gone end if free economy but no democracy end if democracy but not free economy only end if both democracy and free economy
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 37.0% 9.4% 8.2% 5.4% 8.7% 31.4% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 22.9% 7.5% 12.8% 5.9% 11.1% 39.9% 100.0%
Total 28.6% 8.3% 10.9% 5.7% 10.1% 36.4% 100.0%





Favor return to 2003 policy


Would you favor or oppose changing current United States government policy towards Cuba by returning to the policies in place in the first years of the Bush administration until 2003, which were more liberal on family visits, humanitarian and financial support, and allowing more licensed travelers?

Estaría usted a favor o en contra de cambiar la política actual que Estados Unidos tiene hacia Cuba para volver a la política que regía en los primeros años de la administración de Bush hasta el 2003, la cual era más libre con respecto a visitas de familiares, ayuda humanitaria y financiera, y otorgaba más permisos a viajeros?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q18 Favor return to 2003 policy Total
FAVOR OPPOSE
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 82.4% 17.6% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 52.1% 47.9% 100.0%
Total 64.4% 35.6% 100.0%





Prefer sudden and violent, or gradual and peaceful transition


What if there is the situation that the transition to democracy in Cuba would either be sudden and violent, or peaceful but taking many years to accomplish? Which do you think would be the best path, sudden change or a long transition?

Qué tal si hubiese una situación en la que la transición hacia la democracia en Cuba fuese repentina y violenta, o pacífica pero que tomara varios años para lograrse? Cuál cree usted que sería el mejor camino, cambio repentino o una larga transición?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q19 Prefer sudden and violent, or gradual and peaceful transition Total
SUDDEN AND VIOLENT GRADUAL AND PEACEFUL
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 55.0% 45.0% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 47.9% 52.1% 100.0%
Total 50.8% 49.2% 100.0%





How restrictions affected you?


I want to ask how current restrictions on trade, travel, and communications with Cuba personally affected you, your family, or your business? First, you and your family. Have current restrictions had no effect, a small effect, a moderate effect, or a major effect on you and/or family members?

Quisiera preguntarle cómo las restricciones actuales sobre el comercio, los viajes, y comunicaciones con Cuba, personalmente le han afectado a usted, a su familia, o a sus negocios. Primero, a usted y a su familia. Las restricciones actuales no han tenido ningún efecto, poco efecto, un efecto moderado, o un gran efecto en usted o en los miembros de su familia?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q29 How restrictions have personally affected you and your family Total
NO EFFECT [SKIP NEXT QUESTION] SMALL EFFECT MODERATE EFFECT MAJOR EFFECT REFUSED [SKIP NEXT QUESTION]
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 36.8% 5.6% 19.9% 36.8% .8% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 63.2% 5.4% 12.1% 18.8% .5% 100.0%
Total 52.7% 5.5% 15.2% 26.0% .6% 100.0%





Ever traveled to Cuba


Have you ever traveled to Cuba [IF BORN IN CUBA: since you left]?

Ha viajado a Cuba alguna vez [IF BORN IN CUBA: desde que salió?]


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q33 Ever traveled to Cuba Total
YES, TRAVELED NO REFUSED
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 40.1% 58.6% 1.2% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 33.6% 66.1% .3% 100.0%
Total 36.2% 63.1% .7% 100.0%





Sends money to relatives in Cuba


Do you or relatives in Miami send money to relatives in Cuba?

Me podría decir si usted o algún miembro de su familia envía dinero a Cuba?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q35 Sends money to relatives in Cuba Total
YES NO REFUSED
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 72.8% 25.0% 2.2% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 48.3% 51.4% .3% 100.0%
Total 58.4% 40.5% 1.1% 100.0%





If Cuba democracy, how likely return to Cuba to live


What if Cuba changed to a democratic form of government. How likely is it that you would return to Cuba to live - would you say very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?

Qué tal si Cuba cambiase a una forma de gobierno democrático. Cuál sería la posibilidad de que usted regresara a Cuba a vivir – usted diría que muy probablemente, mas o menos probable, no muy probable, o no habría ninguna probabilidad.


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q38 If Cuba democracy, how likely return to Cuba to live Total
VERY LIKELY SOMEWHAT LIKELY NOT VERY LIKELY NOT AT ALL LIKELY REFUSED
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 18.7% 14.9% 16.9% 48.2% 1.3% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 13.6% 11.9% 15.7% 58.1% .7% 100.0%
Total 15.7% 13.1% 16.2% 54.1% .9% 100.0%





U.S. citizen


Are you a U.S. citizen?

Es usted ciudadano norteamericano?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q46 U.S. citizen Total
YES [SKIP NEXT QUESTION] NO
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 14.7% 85.3% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 100.0%
100.0%
Total 65.9% 34.1% 100.0%





Plan to become US citizen


Do you plan to become a U.S. citizen?

Usted planea hacerse ciudadano Americano?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q47 Plan to become US citizen Total
YES NO [SKIP NEXT QUESTION] DO NOT KNOW, NOT SURE [SKIP NEXT QUESTION] REFUSED TO ANSWER [SKIP NEXT QUESTION]
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote 89.0% 5.6% 5.0% .3% 100.0%
Total 89.0% 5.6% 5.0% .3% 100.0%





Registered to vote


[SKIP THIS QUESTION AND GO TO Q51 IF Q46<>1] Are you registered to vote?

Está usted inscrito para votar?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q49 Registered to vote Total
YES NO
regvote Registered to Vote Not Registered to Vote
100.0% 100.0%
Registered to Vote 100.0%
100.0%
Total 91.1% 8.9% 100.0%





Republican, Democrat, or Independent


Are you registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or with some other party?

Está usted inscrito como republicano, demócrata, independiente o con algún otro partido?


% within regvote Registered to Vote


q50 Republican, Democrat, or Independent Total
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT OTHER, SPECIFY
regvote Registered to Vote Registered to Vote 66.1% 18.3% 15.2% .3% 100.0%
Total 66.1% 18.3% 15.2% .3% 100.0%